Deep Questions with Cal Newport · 2026-05-14 · 32 min · 6,156 words

Is AI About to “Eat Everything”? | AI Reality Check

Listen to the original audio · Transcribed with NVIDIA Parakeet · Timestamps stay in sync with the live audio

Last week, the AI safety and evaluation organization Meter, that's METR, released a new update on their famous AI time horizon chart. Look, I'm going to load it on the screen here for people who are watching. And when you zoom in, you can see these points on this chart starting around 2025 begin to go up. And then when we get to 2026, they go way up. And then the last update.

go way up again. Now this graph looks scary. Even if you don't know what it means, it does create a strong sense of digital ick. And as you can imagine, the internet jumped into action to try to amplify that uneasy feeling. Now in a recent essay posted to his newsletter, Gary Marcus did a good job of rounding up some of the more, uh, shall we say, concerned responses to this latest update to meters

latest graph. Let me show you a couple here. Here's one, a tweet that said, AI power is doubling every 103 days now. It's going to eat everything. Nothing will be spared.

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