Moment 100 - A Neuroscientist Explains The Surprising Way To Be Happy TODAY!: Tali Sharot

Uh The optimism bias from what I understood is that is that bias to believing that Um The future will be good. Is that is that accurate or is that inaccurate?

Yeah, kind of. So um optimism on its own uh means even though I'm wrong. No, no, no, you're not wrong. I think what you mean is right. Just give you the scientific definition. So um yeah, so optimism is is believing that that some you know that positive things will happen. The optimism bias means that um you're either like the w you believe these optimistic things will the these good things will happen, but the evidence suggests otherwise. So it's it's actually a mistake, right? The optimism bias. So usually we define it as overestimating the likelihood of positive events happening. So you're overestimating

um how much money am I gonna get with my first job when I leave uh graduate school, right? Or overestimating like how long my marriage will last, um, and so on. So overestimating the positive in light of the evidence that is in front of us um and underestimating the likelihood of negative events happening. So I'm underestimating my likelihood of getting covet, of getting cancer, of being in a car accident, going bunkrupt, whatever it is, based on whatever evidence is is there. Um so optimism Bias does mean mistake, so the word bias means a systematic mistake.

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