All episodes of The Ezra Klein Show

The Ezra Klein Show · 2026-10-27 · 55 min · 10,346 words

Nate Silver Predicts a ‘Momentous’ Midterm

Listen to the original audio · Transcribed with NVIDIA Parakeet · Timestamps stay in sync with the live audio

you're a week out from the midterm elections. And something that looked almost impossible a year ago. There is a path for Democrats to win not just the House but the Senate.

So a Senate majority for Democrats to sort of recap this. They need to defend the competitive Senate seats that they currently hold. And then they need to flip. At least four seats in states currently held by Republicans. A couple of those states had always looked possible, Maine, North Carolina.

But then came the hard ones, states where Trump had won by double digits. People weren't really talking about Kansas, but Now Kansas. And the remarkable thing about this cycle as the Democrats are polling competitively in all of them.

That is the first couple of minutes. The rest is $1.

We already have this episode, so unlocking it is cheap and permanent: the full transcript (55 minutes, 10,346 words), segment and word-level timestamps, and .txt, .srt, .vtt and word-level JSON downloads, as many times as you like, forever.

No account needed, we create one from your checkout email. With credits it is 1 credit; packs start at 10 episodes for $5, and monthly plans are cheaper still.

get it now

Ready in about two minutes.

Pay once, no subscription. Credits never expire.

See all plans Monthly from $9, about 23 cents an episode

Secure checkout by Stripe. No account needed: we create one from your email. By paying you agree to the terms.