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Intelligence Squared · 2026-07-02 · 42 min · 8,504 words

How Should We Prepare for the Unknown? With Statistician David Spiegelhalter

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Welcome to Intelligence Squared, where great minds meet. I'm producer Mia Sorrenti. In a world of economic shocks, geopolitical crises, and constant predictions about the future, how should we make decisions when certainty is impossible? And what can statistics teach us about living with risk, chance, and the unknown? In this episode, physicists

and science broadcaster Helen Chursky speaks with statistician David Spiegelholter about his book The Art of Uncertainty. Drawing on probability, data and real-world examples, Spiegelhalter explores how we assess risk and sheds light on what roles chance, luck, and coincidence play in our lives. Let's join our host Helen Chersky now with more. Welcome to Intelligence Square, David. We are here to discuss your book which I'm holding here, The Arts of Uncertainty, How to Navigate Chance

ignorance, risk and luck, which sounds like everything. And it's got a lovely picture of um a double yoked egg on the cover. I I don't know how I'm I have never got double yolks in an egg without it, without, you know, having I guess you can buy them, can you? Now you can reduce, you can increase your chances these days. That's my joke in it.

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