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The Next Big Idea · 2025-05-01 · 94 min · 17,554 words

AI 2027: What If Superhuman AI Is Right Around the Corner?

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LinkedIn presents. I'm Rufus Grism and this is the next big idea. Today, the risks and rapture of superintelligence. Today's episode is a doozy. I won't sugarcoat it.

Our guest today thinks there is a 70% probability that AI will achieve superintelligence, resulting in either human subjugation or extermination. The end of our story. And he thinks this could happen in the next 10 years. Now, of course, there are many people who disagree. We'll get into that.

Some think AI will never achieve superintelligence. Others think it will take many decades. And that time will enable us to build in the transparency to keep AIs aligned. That's a word you'll hear many times in this conversation, meaning working in collaboration with humans to advance our interests. But our guest today, Daniel Cocotello, is worth taking seriously because he has an uncanny track record of accurately predicting AI progress.

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